Nate Silver — statistician and analyst whose blog FiveThirtyEight was most recently hosted by the New York Times — has moved to ESPN: Silver, who rose to fame with his award-winning website, FiveThirtyEight.com, also will appear on ESPN and its…
Tag: Nate Silver
Nate Silver gives Louisville 22.7% chance of taking NCAA men’s championship
Nate Silver on internal vs. independent polls (i.e., did Romney’s team really believe its own hype?) (UPDATED 12/4)
Gallup defends (?) its erratic presidential polling results; Paul Ryan says results were “a shock” on election night
Really? Even on election night, with North Carolina too close to call deep into the night, with Obama performing well in Virginia and Florida, with states like Iowa and Colorado showing good returns for Obama — even with all that going on, Ryan thought they were in a position to win until Ohio was called?
Nate Silver ranks the pollsters — in a bad, bad year for Gallup
Nate Silver and his team at FiveThirtyEight are still at it. And I sincerely suggest that journalists interested in giving accurate information in elections spend some time reading his wonky post-mortems.
And another big winner Tuesday night: the polls
A few final (?) thoughts on Nate Silver’s role in the election
NYT’s public editor throws Nate Silver under the bus — what does it tell us?
A few days ago, the NYT’s Public Editor Margaret Sullivan posted Under Attack, Nate Silver Picks the Wrong Defense. Sullivan seriously compromised her own credibility in that piece.
The electoral map five days before the election
The state level polling is consistently showing Obama headed for something around 300 electoral votes. Obama is apparently ahead in Ohio, which would seem almost certain to guarantee him the election, but he also has other paths to 270 with states where he apparently has even narrower leads: New Hampshire, Iowa, Colorado, and Virginia. Florida looks very close too, but an average of state polling puts Romney slightly ahead.
What’s up with Gallup tracking poll giving Romney a big lead?
Gallup’s daily updated tracking poll of the presidential race shows Romney with a solid 6 point lead.
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver on The Daily Show with Jon Stewart
I’ve been talking a lot about Nate Silver’s great work at FiveThirtyEight, where he and his team input every presidential poll into a complex computer model. Here’s the first part of Silver’s extended interview with Jon Stewart on The Daily Show:
Open the post for the 2nd part.