
When Jack Frost was nipping at your nose, what did you imagine he looked like?

A few days ago, the NYT’s Public Editor Margaret Sullivan posted Under Attack, Nate Silver Picks the Wrong Defense. Sullivan seriously compromised her own credibility in that piece.
“Many of The Economist’s readers, especially those who run businesses in America, may well conclude that nothing could be worse than another four years of Mr Obama. We beg to differ. For all his businesslike intentions, Mr Romney has an economic plan that works only if you don’t believe most of what he says. That is not a convincing pitch for a chief executive. And for all his shortcomings, Mr Obama has dragged America’s economy back from the brink of disaster, and has made a decent fist of foreign policy. So this newspaper would stick with the devil it knows, and re-elect him.”

As I’ve said many times before, we’d all like to see these graphs looking stronger, but there was really no plausible scenario for that to happen given the dynamics of the financial crisis, the housing bust, and the collapse in new construction. More stimulus efforts from governments at all levels would have helped, for sure, but any serious effort was politically impossible.
Moments ago, the Bureau of Labor Statistics estimated that the nation added 171,000 jobs in October. That number (like all of those is here) is adjusted for seasonality. And that’s a pretty good number — it suggests that our recovery…
ELLE: Are you reminded of how lucky you are?
GS: It doesn’t remind me of how lucky I am, but how much I’ve worked for it.

The state level polling is consistently showing Obama headed for something around 300 electoral votes. Obama is apparently ahead in Ohio, which would seem almost certain to guarantee him the election, but he also has other paths to 270 with states where he apparently has even narrower leads: New Hampshire, Iowa, Colorado, and Virginia. Florida looks very close too, but an average of state polling puts Romney slightly ahead.

I suppose one could criticize the lightheartedness here as discordant with the horror already occurring across Europe. But I’m not going to. When the king refers to the fascist assaults on Spanish civilians, the grim present and grimmer future are right there on the surface. Hyde Park on Hudson is similar to many films about distant families and friends gathering for awkward weekends, but in this narrative the participants also have to worry about saving the free world.

It’s a big rock and roll sound (a few tunes here) combined with the theatrics of charismatic lead singer Keith Kozel.