Bill McBride at Calculated Risk on the “fiscal cliff” — or “fiscal hillock” or “fiscal bluff”

“Given that the top marginal tax rate will increase – and that certain politicians can’t vote for any bill with a tax increase – the agreement will probably be voted on in January after the Bush tax cuts expire.”

Voices in the debate about reviving the Republican Party

Some think that the party needs to retrench and go even farther right, like the couple cited at the end of this post.

Others, like Krauthammer below, seem to think there’s an easy fix — like a massive appeal to Latino voters through dramatically more progressive policies on immigration. But Romney didn’t lose the race simply because of the Latino vote; consider Minnesota, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Iowa.

Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed wants high speed rail to Savannah

I first spotted this at Peach Pundit, but here’s Maria Saporta in Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed says he’s staying — not joining Obama administration

Obama wins just 4 of 120 counties in Kentucky, including my hometown

Obama won Elliott County in Eastern Kentucky, which has less than 8,000 people and is over 99 percent white. Elliott has apparently voted for the Democrat in every presidential race since the county was founded in 1869. That’s the longest winning streak for any party in any county in the country. But it was close this year, with Obama beating Romney 1,186 to 1,126.

Obama’s 2012 acceptance speech in a word cloud

Another Wordle word cloud.

What the pundits learned on Tuesday


And another big winner Tuesday night: the polls

I wonder how the race might have played out differently if Romney supporters and right-wing pundits had simply accepted the simple facts of the polling and spent their energy trying to understand why Romney was losing instead of insisting over and over and over that he was winning.

Live blogging the Chatham County and Georgia-statewide elections

This post will not update itself, so you’ll need to refresh from time to time if you’re following it. 11:13: The charter school amendment is going to pass. John Barrow seems to have beaten Lee Anderson by 138,841 to 119,671.…

Live blogging the presidential election

This post will not update itself, so you’ll need to refresh from time to time if you’re following it. 12:35: With 92.96% in Ohio reporting, Obama’s lead is now 82,000 votes, a 1.59% margin. Just 12% of the vote in…

A few final (?) thoughts on Nate Silver’s role in the election

To paraphrase one of Silver’s comments from last week: anyone who would focus their coverage of the presidential race on it being a “tossup” after looking at the results of the last 25 national polls — 17 for Obama, 6 ties, 2 for Romney — is not in the business of delivering serious news.

My electoral college prediction: Obama 332, Romney 206

Here’s my guess: I think the turnout will be slightly better than the consensus predictions for Democrats generally and African Americans specifically. That will push Obama easily past 270, even though he’s likely to get only about 51 percent of the vote and to lose at least a couple of states that he took in 2008 — Indiana and North Carolina.

The Savannah Film Festival: ways to make it even better

As I emphasized at the end of my City Talk column today, it’s remarkable that the SCAD-sponsored Savannah Film Festival has reached such a level of prestige and quality in just 15 years. But the festival could be better, and that’s what this post is about.