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And another big winner Tuesday night: the polls

By bill dawers On November 7, 2012 · in Politics
Obama332Romney206
I wonder how the race might have played out differently if Romney supporters and right-wing pundits had simply accepted the simple facts of the polling and spent their energy trying to understand why Romney was losing instead of insisting over and over and over that he was winning.
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Live blogging the Chatham County and Georgia-statewide elections

By bill dawers On November 6, 2012 · in Politics
This post will not update itself, so you’ll need to refresh from time to time if you’re following it. 11:13: The charter school amendment is going to pass. John Barrow seems to have beaten Lee Anderson by 138,841 to 119,671.  It’s sure going to be interesting to see the finger pointing about this one. 10:58: [...]
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Live blogging the presidential election

By bill dawers On November 6, 2012 · in Politics
This post will not update itself, so you’ll need to refresh from time to time if you’re following it. 12:35: With 92.96% in Ohio reporting, Obama’s lead is now 82,000 votes, a 1.59% margin. Just 12% of the vote in Toledo is in — Obama is winning that vote 2-1 right now. This one is [...]
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A few final (?) thoughts on Nate Silver’s role in the election

By bill dawers On November 6, 2012 · in Politics
Is_It_Fair_to_All_Concerned
To paraphrase one of Silver's comments from last week: anyone who would focus their coverage of the presidential race on it being a "tossup" after looking at the results of the last 25 national polls -- 17 for Obama, 6 ties, 2 for Romney -- is not in the business of delivering serious news.
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My electoral college prediction: Obama 332, Romney 206

By bill dawers On November 5, 2012 · in Politics
Obama332Romney206
Here's my guess: I think the turnout will be slightly better than the consensus predictions for Democrats generally and African Americans specifically. That will push Obama easily past 270, even though he's likely to get only about 51 percent of the vote and to lose at least a couple of states that he took in 2008 -- Indiana and North Carolina.
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The Savannah Film Festival: ways to make it even better

By bill dawers On November 4, 2012 · in Arts & Culture, Living Savannah
Saturday-5
As I emphasized at the end of my City Talk column today, it's remarkable that the SCAD-sponsored Savannah Film Festival has reached such a level of prestige and quality in just 15 years. But the festival could be better, and that's what this post is about.
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“Rise of the Guardians”: a review from the Savannah Film Festival

By bill dawers On November 4, 2012 · in Arts & Culture
Screen shot 2012-11-04 at 11.00.26 AM
When Jack Frost was nipping at your nose, what did you imagine he looked like?
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S.C. Supreme Court revokes key environmental permit for Savannah River dredging

By bill dawers On November 3, 2012 · in Economics
392460_10150685680329103_103600253_n-1
OK, folks, this is yet another small drama interrupting the timeline that’s likely to end with eventual completion of the Savannah Harbor Expansion Project, a $652 million plan to dredge the Savannah River from 42 to 47 feet to accommodate larger ships that will be using the expanded Panama Canal beginning in 2014. Many South [...]
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Matt Dillon honored at Savannah Film Festival, dedicates award to Leonard Termo

By bill dawers On November 3, 2012 · in Arts & Culture
Over the Edge poster
I found his brief remarks genuine and gracious. He dedicated the award to a friend who died just a couple of days ago -- Leonard Termo.
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NYT’s public editor throws Nate Silver under the bus — what does it tell us?

By bill dawers On November 3, 2012 · in Politics
FiveThirtyEight's electoral predictions three days before the election
A few days ago, the NYT's Public Editor Margaret Sullivan posted Under Attack, Nate Silver Picks the Wrong Defense. Sullivan seriously compromised her own credibility in that piece.
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The Economist: a tepid endorsement of Obama

By bill dawers On November 2, 2012 · in Politics
"Many of The Economist’s readers, especially those who run businesses in America, may well conclude that nothing could be worse than another four years of Mr Obama. We beg to differ. For all his businesslike intentions, Mr Romney has an economic plan that works only if you don’t believe most of what he says. That is not a convincing pitch for a chief executive. And for all his shortcomings, Mr Obama has dragged America’s economy back from the brink of disaster, and has made a decent fist of foreign policy. So this newspaper would stick with the devil it knows, and re-elect him."
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A few employment graphs — key trends

By bill dawers On November 2, 2012 · in Economics
OctUnemploymentRate
As I've said many times before, we'd all like to see these graphs looking stronger, but there was really no plausible scenario for that to happen given the dynamics of the financial crisis, the housing bust, and the collapse in new construction. More stimulus efforts from governments at all levels would have helped, for sure, but any serious effort was politically impossible.
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The latest jobs report (171,000 jobs, 7.9% unemployment) and what it should mean for the election

By bill dawers On November 2, 2012 · in Economics, Politics
Moments ago, the Bureau of Labor Statistics estimated that the nation added 171,000 jobs in October. That number (like all of those is here) is adjusted for seasonality. And that’s a pretty good number — it suggests that our recovery is continuing and it’s higher than the number of jobs that we need [...]
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ELLE on “Precious” star Gabourey Sidibe at the Savannah Film Festival

By bill dawers On November 2, 2012 · in Arts & Culture
ELLE: Are you reminded of how lucky you are? GS: It doesn't remind me of how lucky I am, but how much I've worked for it.
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  • Selected upcoming gigs

    • Jun 21: Savannah Summer Solstice - Red Gate Campground
    • Oct 11: 24th Annual Savannah Folk Music Festival - Various Venues
    • Mar 6, 2014: Savannah Stopover - Various Venues
    • Mar 20, 2014: Savannah Music Festival 2014 - Various Venues
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  • ABOUT SAVANNAH UNPLUGGED
    In my columns in the Savannah Morning News, I write about the local economy and culture. But those columns don't exist in a vacuum: I follow a wide variety of national news and experience Savannah much more deeply than I can possibly capture in three columns a week. So here on Savannah Unplugged, you'll find everything from nationwide economic trends to nightclub photos.

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