Click here for an updated post with information as of 5 p.m. Sunday.
Beryl has not yet become a tropical storm (merely subtropical right now) and is not forecast to become a hurricane. But it could have some significant impacts on the southeast coast over the next few days. Landfall is expected late Sunday. (UPDATE: The 2 p.m. NHC advisory notes that Beryl has “stalled” but the basic track and all watches and warnings remain in place.)
The entire Georgia coast, as well as much of S.C. and Florida, is under a Tropical Storm Warning.
From the National Hurricane Center’s 11 a.m. update:
BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH…15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY…WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WEST EXPECTED LATE SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF BERYL WILL BE NEAR THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATE SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH…75 KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES…185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
I don’t know why they type in all caps like that.
It’s conceivable that there could be tropical storm winds affecting the coast somewhere late tonight (Saturday) but it looks like the significant impacts will begin on Sunday: higher than normal tides, dangerous surf, high winds, 3-6″ of rain.
As you can see in the newly updated forecast map, Beryl is expected to hit the coast as a tropical storm, then weaken to a tropical depression and move back out to sea.
Click for a larger image. The official forecast as of 11 a.m. Saturday.